New builds just became the smart play — and consequently, the more dangerous one.
Get the free briefing on what actually changed in 2027, the real numbers behind it, and how to tell a market that will grow from one that will quietly cost you — with the data most agents never put in front of you.
Investor Briefing
Everyone's about to buy new. Most of them will buy the wrong one.
The 2027 changes point every investor toward new builds, which means a wave of people are about to pour into brand-new stock — and a real share of them will lose money doing the supposedly smart thing. They'll buy whatever's marketed hardest, in oversupplied markets where no tax perk can save them. New is the right category. The market you buy it in is where the money is actually won or lost — and that's the half almost nobody does the homework on.
The part the headlines skipped.
Exactly how the three 2027 changes hit your next purchase — negative gearing, capital gains and SMSF borrowing, in real dollars rather than headlines.
The depreciation and stamp-duty maths that make new builds add up — and the 2017 rule that quietly put established property at a disadvantage years ago.
The three-question framework for reading whether a market will actually grow — the same one we use before we'll recommend anything.
The red flags that quietly kill returns — how to spot an oversupplied market before you sign, not after.
A real case study — a market our data backed, the numbers at the time, and what happened next, set against one we deliberately avoided.
Most agents sell what a builder has. We start with the market.
We don't sell whatever stock a developer happens to be holding. Every property is screened against more than fifty data points before it ever reaches you — and, unusually, we show you that data, so you're deciding on the same evidence we are rather than taking it on trust.
The framework, with a receipt.
Two outer growth markets, the same national conditions and window — opposite supply structures, opposite results. Inside the briefing we show the fundamentals we read at the time; here's the short version.
Sources: Forecast ID, REIWA and area-level data. Figures indicative and point-in-time. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance — illustrative of method only.
Built for investors who want evidence, not a sales pitch.
This is for you if…
- You're weighing an investment purchase and want the data behind the decision
- You'd rather understand a market than be sold a property
- You want to use the 2027 changes deliberately, not react to them
- You're building a portfolio for the long term
It's probably not for you if…
- You're chasing a hot tip or the cheapest possible stock
- You want to buy this weekend without doing any homework
- You're only interested in whatever a builder has on special
- You'd rather not know what the data says
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Nigel Franklin Black
"After 18 years helping Australians build wealth through property, I've seen investing become more complex than ever. Rising prices, tighter lending and changing legislation mean success now depends on buying the right property, not just any property. That's why we developed Path Wealth's data-led sourcing methodology, assessing over 50 market metrics to identify locations with the strongest long-term growth potential. It's how we help our clients invest with greater confidence and build wealth that lasts."
The obvious questions.
The rules changed. Make sure you read them right.
Get the free 2027 briefing — the changes, the real numbers, and how to tell a market that will grow from one that won't.